Position 401
How should White play 62 here:
It is always good to so you consider the safest hitting play of 13/7*/5:
Although this is the safest hitting play, you will still be
hit by Black with 43, 42, 41, 44 and 22 which is 8 rolls or 22% of the time.
After the roll you will be significantly ahead in the race, so you get your rear most checker moving, so you consider combining hitting and moving your back checker with 13/7* 24/22:
Now you will be hit with 61, 54, 53, 52, 43, 42, 41, 32, 31,
44, 33 and 22, which is 21 rolls or 58% of the time. Here being hit 58% of the
time is just too much.
Although it is nice to hit Black’s checker, consider 24/16:
When you consider what your game plan is, you really just
want to escape your back checker and get home safely. After the roll you will
be ahead in the race by 17 pips.
Black will hit you with any 4 as well as 31, 22 and 62 but
the 4’s are duplicated to hit and make Black’s 18 point. This means that you
are not giving Black a good 4, they already have a good 4. Very often
duplication will help me find the correct move.
It is hard to pass on hitting, but it is very important to know when to hit and when to refrain from hitting.
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