Position 370
How should White play 63 here:
There is a high quiz factor with this position and over the board most players would simply play 22/13 and pick up their dice. Look at the resulting board:
Both players have similar positions. Both players have
escaped one of their checkers. Both players will be trying to make more inner
board points to prime or attack if their opponent moves their rear-most checker
to a higher point.
If you do make this play, then both you and Black will still
have similar positions. But your position will be inferior because Black has 3
active builders aimed at their 5 point. An active builder is a checker that you
can move to make a point without breaking a point. But you have only 2 active
builders available for making more inner board points, so you have an inferior
similar position. You want to avoid creating inferior similar positions.
What else can we do? Consider 24/21 22/16:
You have duplicated Blacks 2’s to hit you in two places. If black
hits you loose on your 16 point without moving it to safety, then any entering
5 will hit back. Any entering 4 will enable you to anchor on your 21 point.
This move forces an exchange of hits before Black’s board
strength improves.
Note that Black will not be able to hit you if they roll 66,
55, 65, 61 or 51. That is 8 rolls or 22% of the time. Then you will have a
chance of making your 16 point. If Black does hit you loose, on either their 9
or 4 points, you will have return shots from the bar.
I was once told that if you are drifting into an inferior position, take some action now to avoid it.
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